{"source":"Hausfather, Drake, Abbott & Schmidt (2020), Geophysical Research Letters 47, e2019GL085378","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085378","data":"https://github.com/hausfath/OldModels","projections":[{"id":"benson_1970","label":"Benson 1970","pub":1970,"from":1970,"to":2000,"rate":0.2,"match":true},{"id":"manabe_1970","label":"Manabe 1970","pub":1970,"from":1970,"to":2000,"rate":0.19,"match":true},{"id":"mitchell_1970","label":"Mitchell 1970","pub":1970,"from":1970,"to":2000,"rate":0.171,"match":true},{"id":"rasool_schneider_1971","label":"Rasool & Schneider 1971","pub":1971,"from":1971,"to":2000,"rate":0.033,"match":false},{"id":"sawyer_1972","label":"Sawyer 1972","pub":1972,"from":1972,"to":2000,"rate":0.194,"match":true},{"id":"broecker_1975","label":"Broecker 1975","pub":1975,"from":1975,"to":2010,"rate":0.211,"match":true},{"id":"nordhaus_1977","label":"Nordhaus 1977","pub":1977,"from":1977,"to":2017,"rate":0.236,"match":false},{"id":"hansen_1981_1","label":"Hansen 1981, scenario 1","pub":1981,"from":1981,"to":2017,"rate":0.175,"match":true},{"id":"hansen_1981_2a","label":"Hansen 1981, scenario 2a","pub":1981,"from":1981,"to":2017,"rate":0.141,"match":false},{"id":"schneider_thompson_1981","label":"Schneider & Thompson 1981","pub":1981,"from":1981,"to":2017,"rate":0.227,"match":false},{"id":"hansen_1988_a","label":"Hansen 1988, scenario A","pub":1988,"from":1988,"to":2017,"rate":0.302,"match":false},{"id":"hansen_1988_b","label":"Hansen 1988, scenario B","pub":1988,"from":1988,"to":2017,"rate":0.284,"match":false},{"id":"hansen_1988_c","label":"Hansen 1988, scenario C","pub":1988,"from":1988,"to":2017,"rate":0.124,"match":false},{"id":"far_ebm_best","label":"IPCC 1990 (first report)","pub":1990,"from":1990,"to":2017,"rate":0.261,"match":false},{"id":"manabe_stouffer_1993","label":"Manabe & Stouffer 1993","pub":1993,"from":1993,"to":2017,"rate":0.25,"match":true},{"id":"sar_ebm_best","label":"IPCC 1995 (second report)","pub":1995,"from":1995,"to":2017,"rate":0.134,"match":true},{"id":"tar_ebm_best","label":"IPCC 2001 (third report)","pub":2001,"from":2001,"to":2017,"rate":0.167,"match":true},{"id":"ar4_mmm_best","label":"IPCC 2007 (fourth report)","pub":2007,"from":2007,"to":2017,"rate":0.185,"match":true}],"hansen1988":{"years":[1958,1959,1960,1961,1962,1963,1964,1965,1966,1967,1968,1969,1970,1971,1972,1973,1974,1975,1976,1977,1978,1979,1980,1981,1982,1983,1984,1985,1986,1987,1988,1989,1990,1991,1992,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019],"A_T":[-0.035,-0.004,-0.015,0.0,-0.002,-0.109,-0.161,-0.102,-0.047,-0.029,0.0,-0.074,0.02,0.048,0.135,0.176,0.2,0.064,0.218,0.133,0.2,0.253,0.324,0.376,0.3,0.094,0.067,0.212,0.276,0.412,0.447,0.429,0.508,0.506,0.518,0.647,0.688,0.705,0.859,0.865,0.918,0.906,0.812,0.859,0.953,0.906,0.965,1.034,1.021,0.941,0.965,1.129,1.121,1.127,1.176,1.224,1.318,1.262,1.391,1.359,1.306,1.565],"B_T":[-0.018,-0.065,0.061,0.035,0.029,-0.067,-0.161,-0.165,-0.132,-0.082,-0.071,-0.106,0.055,-0.047,0.082,0.203,0.129,0.094,0.109,0.116,0.059,0.121,0.147,0.115,0.109,-0.055,0.082,0.2,0.271,0.292,0.365,0.4,0.435,0.406,0.459,0.447,0.406,0.412,0.276,0.317,0.404,0.536,0.565,0.647,0.612,0.685,0.734,0.694,0.835,0.818,0.841,0.873,1.035,0.971,1.065,1.049,1.071,1.0,0.947,1.059,1.133,1.104],"C_T":[-0.018,-0.065,0.061,0.035,0.029,-0.067,-0.161,-0.165,-0.132,-0.082,-0.071,-0.106,0.055,-0.047,0.082,0.203,0.129,0.094,0.109,0.116,0.059,0.121,0.064,0.147,0.109,-0.149,0.053,0.057,0.14,0.131,0.247,0.324,0.318,0.355,0.355,0.341,0.471,0.327,0.218,0.385,0.4,0.447,0.541,0.506,0.566,0.539,0.496,0.648,0.692,0.656,0.656,0.646,0.632,0.588,0.604,0.535,0.68,0.647,0.453,0.526,0.573,0.606],"F_years":[1958,1959,1960,1961,1962,1963,1964,1965,1966,1967,1968,1969,1970,1971,1972,1973,1974,1975,1976,1977,1978,1979,1980,1981,1982,1983,1984,1985,1986,1987,1988,1989,1990,1991,1992,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017],"A_F":[0,0.0202,0.0461,0.0661,0.0934,0.1166,0.1358,0.1598,0.1888,0.2152,0.2461,0.2854,0.3293,0.3737,0.4157,0.4759,0.5309,0.5657,0.6104,0.657,0.7126,0.7607,0.8138,0.8672,0.9135,0.9695,1.037,1.0921,1.1477,1.2042,1.2616,1.32,1.3794,1.4397,1.5011,1.5635,1.627,1.6915,1.7572,1.824,1.892,1.9612,2.0315,2.1032,2.1761,2.2503,2.3258,2.4027,2.481,2.5607,2.6419,2.7246,2.8088,2.8946,2.982,3.071,3.1618,3.2542,3.3485,3.4445],"B_F":[0,0.0187,0.0428,0.0607,0.0855,0.1057,0.1214,0.1414,0.166,0.1875,0.2127,0.2455,0.2823,0.3189,0.3524,0.403,0.4475,0.4723,0.5073,0.5447,0.5918,0.6319,0.6774,0.7222,0.7601,0.8077,0.8669,0.9138,0.9611,1.0092,1.0579,1.1073,1.1575,1.2044,1.2517,1.2994,1.3475,1.3961,1.4451,1.4945,1.5444,1.5947,1.6455,1.6925,1.7397,1.7869,1.8343,1.8817,1.9293,1.977,2.0248,2.0728,2.1209,2.1689,2.2167,2.2643,2.3117,2.3588,2.4058,2.4525],"C_F":[0,0.0187,0.0428,0.0607,0.0855,0.1057,0.1214,0.1414,0.166,0.1875,0.2128,0.2455,0.2823,0.319,0.3524,0.403,0.4476,0.4723,0.5073,0.5447,0.5918,0.632,0.6774,0.7187,0.7529,0.7968,0.8523,0.8952,0.938,0.981,1.0241,1.0674,1.1109,1.1501,1.1879,1.2245,1.2597,1.2937,1.3264,1.3579,1.3881,1.4171,1.4449,1.4426,1.4403,1.438,1.4357,1.4335,1.4313,1.4291,1.4269,1.4248,1.4226,1.4205,1.4185,1.4164,1.4143,1.4123,1.4103,1.4083]},"hansen1988_source":"Temperature 1958-2019: https://www.realclimate.org/data/scen_ABC_temp.data; forcing: Hausfather et al. 2020","ghg_forcing":{"years":[1958,1959,1960,1961,1962,1963,1964,1965,1966,1967,1968,1969,1970,1971,1972,1973,1974,1975,1976,1977,1978,1979,1980,1981,1982,1983,1984,1985,1986,1987,1988,1989,1990,1991,1992,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025],"F":[0.0,0.0156,0.0366,0.0548,0.0783,0.1025,0.1277,0.1486,0.1791,0.2027,0.2347,0.2668,0.3129,0.3432,0.3962,0.4584,0.4928,0.5154,0.5493,0.6019,0.6519,0.7017,0.7575,0.7988,0.8326,0.879,0.9226,0.9662,1.0114,1.0582,1.1209,1.1696,1.2076,1.2457,1.2695,1.2878,1.3192,1.3554,1.3895,1.4131,1.4629,1.5035,1.527,1.5551,1.5898,1.6337,1.6643,1.6978,1.7343,1.7671,1.8056,1.8331,1.8726,1.9067,1.9422,1.9885,2.0249,2.0665,2.1222,2.1599,2.2021,2.2438,2.2852,2.3274,2.3709,2.4093,2.4623,2.5087]},"forcing_source":"Forster et al. (2026), Indicators of Global Climate Change 2025, ESSD; https://github.com/ClimateIndicator/data"}